Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.005864 0.006518 0.007228 0.008061 0.009011 0.010065 0.011328
2025-06-22 0.004944 0.005867 0.006953 0.008335 0.010061 0.012166 0.014955
2025-06-29 0.004253 0.005260 0.006506 0.008181 0.010403 0.013293 0.017408
2025-07-06 0.003753 0.004792 0.006131 0.008010 0.010628 0.014220 0.019651
2025-07-13 0.003422 0.004493 0.005919 0.007998 0.011023 0.015378 0.022341
2025-07-20 0.003222 0.004338 0.005873 0.008192 0.011706 0.017006 0.025952
2025-07-27 0.002978 0.004094 0.005671 0.008125 0.011979 0.018028 0.028743
2025-08-03 0.002787 0.003906 0.005526 0.008121 0.012331 0.019200 0.031948
2025-08-10 0.002598 0.003704 0.005340 0.008026 0.012518 0.020108 0.034815
2025-08-17 0.002465 0.003573 0.005247 0.008066 0.012923 0.021425 0.038649
2025-08-24 0.002314 0.003404 0.005080 0.007965 0.013070 0.022293 0.041742
2025-08-31 0.002150 0.003200 0.004843 0.007723 0.012936 0.022619 0.043774
2025-09-07 0.002046 0.003092 0.004759 0.007751 0.013324 0.024043 0.048550
2025-09-14 0.001994 0.003064 0.004807 0.008017 0.014194 0.026560 0.056369
2025-09-21 0.001873 0.002913 0.004636 0.007870 0.014247 0.027406 0.060448
2025-09-28 0.001760 0.002770 0.004465 0.007707 0.014246 0.028135 0.064400
2025-10-05 0.001682 0.002679 0.004380 0.007696 0.014550 0.029575 0.070540
2025-10-12 0.001640 0.002648 0.004396 0.007880 0.015286 0.032111 0.080343
2025-10-19 0.001566 0.002553 0.004292 0.007817 0.015478 0.033394 0.086904
2025-10-26 0.001505 0.002480 0.004221 0.007813 0.015799 0.035041 0.095035
2025-11-02 0.001437 0.002390 0.004113 0.007722 0.015913 0.036181 0.101894
2025-11-09 0.001390 0.002336 0.004068 0.007761 0.016329 0.038183 0.112249
2025-11-16 0.001330 0.002254 0.003965 0.007664 0.016414 0.039304 0.119902